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ORIGINAL RESEARCH COMMUNICATION |
1 From the Bandim Health Project, Bissau, Guinea-Bissau (JN, CM, FC, and PA), and the Danish Epidemiology Science Centre, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen (JN, PV-B, and PA).
2 Supported by the Danish Council for Development Research and the Humanitarian Aid Office of the European Commission (ECHO), European Union. ECHO (Brussels), the Swedish Embassy in Guinea-Bissau, and Danida provided humanitarian aid during the war in Guinea-Bissau. 3 Address reprint requests to J Nielsen, Danish Epidemiology Science Centre, Statens Serum Institut, Artillerivej 5, DK-2300 Copenhagen S, Denmark. E-mail: nls{at}ssi.dk.
| ABSTRACT |
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Objective: We investigated the effect of an SFP on malnourished children in Guinea-Bissau who were returning to their homes after having been displaced within the country because of war in 19981999.
Design: The effect of the war on the nutritional status of children aged 659 mo who were present in Bissau sometime from September 1998 to June 1999 was evaluated by comparing the mortality and the prevalence of malnutrition with the values expected had the war not occurred and by comparing the severity of malnutrition in malnourished children before and during the war. The quality of the SFP was also evaluated. Children with midupper arm circumference < 130 mm were provided weekly medical consultations and supplementary feeding until recovery.
Results: The degree of malnutrition did not increase during the war. The prevalence of malnutrition increased with the start of the war but then decreased. The mortality of malnourished children did not increase during the war. Seventy-four percent of the referred children received treatment; of those, 1% died, 67% recovered, and 32% abandoned treatment. Compliance was 89%. The recovery rate was 13.1 · 10001 · d1, and the median time to recovery was 48 d. Better compliance was associated with shorter time to recovery.
Conclusions: Our findings may be biased by changes in the cultural and socioeconomic background of the malnourished children. However, 3 different analyses indicated a beneficial effect of the SFP. Thus, the home-based SFP probably prevented nutritional deterioration during the war in Guinea-Bissau.
Key Words: Malnutrition supplementary feeding mortality before 5 y of age war complex emergency socioeconomic position observational study sub-Saharan Africa
| INTRODUCTION |
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Weight-for-height is the recommended index in nutritional assessments and is recommended as the most reliable measurement of acute malnutrition in famine and emergency situations (10-12). Midupper arm circumference (MUAC) is a relatively simple index, but with a fixed cutoff, it ignores age-related changes. Compared with weight-for-height, MUAC has a sensitivity of 24.6% and a specificity of 94.8% (2). MUAC appears to be a better predictor of childhood mortality than is weight-for-height (13-16).
In rural Guinea-Bissau, supplementary feeding of nonhospitalized, severely malnourished children reduced their mortality by 25% and had a beneficial effect on growth (17). The quality of supplementary feeding is reflected in recovery, death, and average length of treatment (18). Minimum standards for coverage, recovery, and mortality have been proposed (4, 19). Satisfying requirements for recovery is an indicator of the quality of the program but gives no information on the nutritional status of the population (18).
During the war, the Bandim Health Project (BHP) offered supplementary feeding and treatment to malnourished children aged 6 mo to 5 y in the project area. In connection with weekly consultations, the caretakers of malnourished children were provided with a prepared dietary supplement and tablets for daily micronutrient supplementation.
Childhood mortality and prevalence of malnutrition increase for refugees and IDPs, but the effect on returning IDPs has not been reported before. We compared the prevalence of malnutrition and mortality in malnourished children during the war with that before the war to investigate how a supplementary program for nonhospitalized children affected growth, recovery, and degree of malnutrition in the community.
| SUBJECTS AND METHODS |
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There were several periods of fighting (6 July-26 August and 9 October-1 December 1998 and 30 January-15 February and 67 May 1999). Fighting was most intense in the capital, and the residential areas of Bissau were exposed to heavy shelling during the periods of fighting. By the end of 1998, 196 000 persons were internally displaced, and 6600 had left the country (23). By the end of 1999, 265 000 IDPs had returned, and of 7100 refugees who had left the country, 5300 had returned (24). Camps never became a prominent feature of the emergency in Bissau; displaced people moved in with relatives or strangers in the rural areas. As soon as people believed the cease-fire would hold, they started returning to the capital. During the emergency, the public health systems did not function, but the central hospital, which was supported by humanitarian aid, continued to receive patients. Most other public services did not function. Less money was available because salaries were not paid, and the market was limited. Humanitarian aid provided a limited proportion of the missing food, and although there was no real hunger, the situation was difficult.
The Bandim Health Project and humanitarian assistance
The BHP maintains a longitudinal, demographic surveillance system in 4 suburbs of Bissau: Bandim I, Bandim II, Belem, and Mindara. The project covers around 16% of the population in the capital, Bissau. As part of the routine registration system, all houses are visited monthly to identify new pregnancies, births, and deaths. Reported deaths are subsequently confirmed in an interview, and the perceived cause of death is registered. Field assistants visit children under 3 y of age at home every 3 mo to monitor nutritional status, breastfeeding, hospitalizations, and immunizations.
During the war, BHP took responsibility for humanitarian aid activities by providing medicine and distributing food to IDPs. When the population returned to Bissau, BHP followed, continued providing medicine to health centers in the project area, and organized food distribution when stocks were available. Beginning in October 1998, the project organized vitamin A supplementation for children below 5 y of age. In addition, from January 1999, permethrin-impregnated bed-nets were distributed to pregnant women and children below 2 y of age, and from September 1998, supplementary feeding was established for malnourished children (see below). For humanitarian assistance, the routine home visits were extended to children under 5 y of age.
Supplementary feeding of malnourished children
Supplementary feeding and medical treatment of undernourished children below 5 y of age started on 1 September 1998 at the health center in the BHP area and continued until March 2000. Children who were observed by field assistants to have an MUAC < 130 mm were referred to the Bandim Health Centre. At the health center, all children had MUAC, weight, and height measured and were examined by a Guinean physician. Medical conditions were treated, and all malnourished children received dietary supplementation. Medicine and supplementary feeding were provided for 7 d, and caretakers were instructed to return in 1 wk for the children to be reexamined and receive supplementary feeding for another week. Supplementary feeding continued until the children recovered (MUAC
130 mm).
The caretaker of each child was supplied with micronutrient tablets and flour mix in an amount corresponding to 65008700 kJ/d, which was well above the recommended minimum supplementation of 42005040 kJ/d (10001200 kcal/d) (12). The caretaker was instructed to prepare the gruel
3 times/d and to feed it to her child 6 times/d. The energy intake was not restricted, and although the supplement was intended for the child only, the caretaker was allowed to serve leftovers to other children in the family. The caretaker was told that the child was fine if he or she was eating only the supplied millet gruel but that she was allowed to supplement the gruel with her own food as well; the caretaker was also instructed to continue breastfeeding. Furthermore, the caretaker was asked to give the micronutrient tablet once a day; the amount of micronutrients per tablet equaled approximately one recommended daily allowance.
Dietary treatment
On the basis of results from a previously conducted dietary survey (25), millet gruel was chosen for the therapeutic feeding. This was a modified traditional weaning food, which was locally produced and had shorter shelf life than did commercially prepared products. Millet seeds were pounded into flour and mixed with fresh eggs, fresh bananas, and margarine in a pot over a fire. Subsequently, this mixture was dried in the sun or in a pot over a fire, pounded again, and sieved. To this very dry flour mix were added full-strength milk powder and sugar, and the mix was then stored in a refrigerator at a maximum temperature of 5 °C until distribution. After distribution, the mix could easily be kept at ambient temperature in a closed plastic container for 1 wk without spoiling. The flour mix was added to water and boiled for 15 min to further ensure that there would be no problems of household food safety. The dietary requirements for catch-up growth were set to an energy density of 3.8 kJ/mL with 8.7% of the energy from protein (26). The gruel was modified to fit these criteria by the addition of full-strength milk powder and an increase in the content of sugar and margarine (25). In a previous controlled, community-based, intervention study of persistent diarrhea (27), the gruel was found to be associated with short- and long-term weight gain and long-term improvement in linear growth.
Study populations
The study was based on 3956 children aged 659 mo who were seen at home in the study area between 1 September 1998 and 31 May 1999. Four hundred thirty-three (10.9%) children were registered as being malnourished (MUAC < 130 mm) at least once, and of these, 247 (57.0%) received supplementary feeding and medical treatment. Children were censored at death, permanent movement out of the area, attainment of 5 y of age, or 31 May 1999, whichever came first. We cannot know the nutritional status of a child who was absent at a home visit; thus, only time from a home visit at which the nutritional status was registered was attributed to the child. Nutritional status of a child changes over time. The interval between home visits was normally 3 mo. Thus, we censored information about nutritional status after 90 d if a new visit and examination of arm circumference had not been conducted within this period. Deaths due to acts of war or accidents, as reported in a cause-of-death interview, were censored.
Study design
We used different designs to examine the effect of war and supplementary feeding on the nutritional status of the community.
Malnutrition status of the study population
We evaluated the effect of war on the nutrition status of the study population in 2 different designs. First, we investigated how children aged 635 mo were affected; we compared observed monthly prevalence rates of malnutrition during the war with expected prevalence rates. Second, to investigate changes in the severity of malnutrition among malnourished children, we compared mean MUAC before and during the war.
The nutritional status of the children was known only when they were present in Bissau. Migration patterns were different during the war; more time was spent outside Bissau due to periods of fighting. Families with good conditions might have been the first to return to Bissau. Alternatively, families with malnourished or sick children might have returned to Bissau more quickly, as knowledge about the better availability of treatment in Bissau circulated among the IDPs in the interior of Guinea-Bissau. Thus, to explore the potential bias in those who came back first, we compared the cultural and socioeconomic risk factors of malnourished children before and during the war.
As we know only the nutritional status of the children present at the last home visit, the effect of the war was examined by using only the children who were present in Bissau. Before the war, the routine surveillance included children up to 3 y of age, and our comparisons are therefore restricted to children aged 6 mo to 3 y.
Supplementary feeding and treatment
The quality of the supplementary feeding and treatment program was compared with the Sphere Project's minimum standards in disaster response (4). The supplementary feeding was performed in an urban area with <2 h return walk. Thus, coverage should have been >90%, and during treatment, the numbers of deaths, recovered, and abandoned should have been <3%, >75%, and <15%, respectively. In addition, we evaluated compliance.
Statistical methods
The expected monthly wartime prevalence of malnutrition and mortality associated with malnutrition was estimated by using time series methods to forecast prewar data (January 1995 to May 1998) into wartime (June 1998 to May 1999). We used 2 classes of log-transformed time series models to account for trends, epidemics, and seasonal variations, the latter as either piecewise constant terms or cyclic functions. The variance was modeled with an underlying Poisson process with overdispersion or with an underlying Gaussian process including the monthly estimation SE in the variance. The best forecasting capacity was obtained when the monthly estimation error was included in the variance, either multiplicatively as overdispersion in a Poisson regression or additively in a Gaussian regression. The model residual error in both regressions may express autocorrelation. The forecasting capacity of the time series models was evaluated on the basis of their ability to predict prevalence or mortality in the year before the war. We found that a Gaussian regression with no trend and quarterly constant seasonal variation was the best model for forecasting the prevalence of malnutrition the year before the war. Mortality rates the year before the war had the best prediction in a Poisson regression with no trend and a 12-mo cyclic seasonal variation. A more detailed description of the methods is available from the authors.
We used 4 cultural and socioeconomic indicators (ethnicity, suburb, schooling of mother, and type of roof) that are associated with childhood survival to construct an index. The index was defined as the sum of positive values [ie, not(Pepel) + not(Bandim) + mother had any schooling + roof was solid]. Because the 2 index groups 0 and 4 were small, they were grouped with index groups 1 and 3, respectively. Missing values were treated as negative values.
The expected wartime prevalence and mortality rates were forecasted for each cultural and socioeconomic index group. These rates were then assembled every month during the war into one rate weighted by the distribution of persons (prevalence) or observation time (mortality rates) in each index group.
Indexes (z scores) of anthropometric status were calculated by using a SAS program that was based on the year 2000 growth charts from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and was downloaded from the CDC website on 26 September 2002 (Internet: www.cdc.gov/nccdphp/dnpa/growthcharts/sas.htm). Analysis was performed by using SAS release 8.02 (SAS Institute Inc, Cary, NC).
| RESULTS |
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Supplementary feeding and treatment
Of the 433 children registered as being malnourished, 5 died and 84 recovered without supplementary feeding or medical treatment (Figure 3
). Ninety-four children were eligible for supplementary feeding at the end of the study (31 May 1999). Two hundred forty-seven children received supplementary feeding and medical treatment. Twenty-seven children were still under treatment when the study ended, 2 of the children had died [0.9% = 2/(247 27)], 148 (67%; 95% CI: 61%, 73%) had recovered, and 70 (32%; 95% CI: 26%, 38%) had abandoned treatment (Figure 3
). All children with an MUAC < 130 mm at the 3-mo home visits were referred for treatment. Coverage, which was expressed as the percentage of children who were referred for treatment and were actually included in the supplementary feeding program, was 74% [247/(433 94 5)].
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50%, 101 d; compliance between 50% and 75%, 58 d; compliance > 75%, 28 d; P for equal values < 0.01; controlled for initial MUAC).
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| DISCUSSION |
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The supplementary feeding program fulfilled the minimum standards in disaster response for death during treatment, and the numbers of recovered and abandoned were nearly adequate. All children were visited every 3 mo, and all undernourished children were referred for treatment. Although some children may not have been home and thus could not be examined, the home visits most likely assured that most malnourished children in the community were identified. Seventy-four percent of those referred for treatment were included. If this is interpreted as coverage, the program did poorly. However, the program was interrupted several times due to small outbreaks of fighting in the capital, and many mothers and their children fled on such occasions. Once a malnourished child had entered the treatment program, compliance was 89%. With the nonhospitalization setup of the program, it could be expected that returning depended on previous growth during treatment. We found no such association. This and the relatively high compliance indicate a high commitment to the program, which was seriously interrupted only by occasional outbreaks of fighting.
The supplementary feeding program included medical treatment, which may also have affected growth. We cannot distinguish between the effects of medical treatment and supplementary feeding, but time to recovery decreased with compliance, which suggests that the supplementary feeding also contributed to better growth. Taking into account the nonhospitalization of the treated children, this suggests a benign effect of the supplementary feeding intervention.
Given the nonexperimental character of humanitarian aid, there is no way of knowing the exact effect of supplementary feeding. The comparisons could be residually biased because of changes in the ethnic and educational-economic distribution of the malnourished children, because of other interventions during the war, or because of the size of the study. However, excluding this bias, 3 different analyses provided results that would be consistent with a beneficial effect of the program. First, contrary to expectations, we found that the prevalence of malnutrition decreased during the war after the expected initial increase. Second, the severity of malnutrition among the malnourished children did not increase. Third, we did not find an increased mortality among the malnourished children during the war. Supplementary feeding may have been the main cause of this lack of expected deterioration in nutritional conditions. We believe that supplementary feeding had a beneficial effect on individual growth and recovery and prevented an increase in malnutrition in the community. Thus, supplementary feeding should be a priority in complex emergency situations. Furthermore, we found that a nonhospitalization setup functions well in a resettling community.
| ACKNOWLEDGMENTS |
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PA was responsible for humanitarian aid during the war. CM and FC supervised the supplementary feeding follow-up for the malnourished children and were responsible for data collection. PV-B and PA planned the supplementary feeding intervention and supervised the analyses. JN implemented data control, performed all statistical analyses, and wrote the first draft of the paper. All authors contributed to the final version. None of the authors had any competing or conflicting interests.
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This article has been cited by other articles:
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J. Nielsen, H. Jensen, P. K. Andersen, and P. Aaby Mortality patterns during a war in Guinea-Bissau 1998-99: changes in risk factors? Int. J. Epidemiol., April 1, 2006; 35(2): 438 - 446. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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