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American Journal of Clinical Nutrition, Vol. 87, No. 2, 339-346, February 2008
© 2008 American Society for Nutrition


ORIGINAL RESEARCH COMMUNICATION

Low-carbohydrate-diet score and risk of type 2 diabetes in women1,2,3

Thomas L Halton1, Simin Liu1, JoAnn E Manson1 and Frank B Hu1

1 From the Departments of Nutrition (TLH and FBH) and Epidemiology (JEM, SL, and FBH), Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA; the Channing Laboratory (JEM and FBH) and the Division of Preventive Medicine (JEM and SL), Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School and Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA; and the Department of Epidemiology, UCLA School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, CA (SL)

Background: Low-carbohydrate weight-loss diets remain popular; however, the long-term effects of these diets are not known.

Objective: The objective was to examine the association between low-carbohydrate-diet score and risk of type 2 diabetes

Design: We prospectively examined the association between low-carbohydrate-diet score (based on percentage of energy as carbohydrate, fat, and protein) and risk of diabetes among 85 059 women in the Nurses' Health Study.

Results: During 20 y of follow-up, we documented 4670 cases of type 2 diabetes. The multivariate relative risk (RR) of diabetes, after adjustment for body mass index and other covariates, in a comparison of the highest decile of low-carbohydrate-diet score with the lowest was 0.90 (95% CI: 0.78, 1.04; P for trend = 0.26). The multivariate RR for the comparison of extreme deciles of low-carbohydrate-diet score based on total carbohydrate, animal protein, and animal fat was 0.99 (95% CI: 0.85, 1.16; P for trend = 1.0), whereas the RR for a low-carbohydrate-diet score based on total carbohydrate, vegetable protein, and vegetable fat was 0.82 (95% CI: 0.71, 0.94; P for trend = 0.001). A higher dietary glycemic load was strongly associated with an increased risk of diabetes in a comparison of extreme deciles (RR: 2.47; 95% CI: 1.75, 3.47; P for trend < 0.0001)). A higher carbohydrate consumption was also associated with an increased risk of diabetes in a comparison of extreme deciles (RR: 1.26; 95% CI: 1.07, 1.49; P for trend = 0.003).

Conclusion: These data suggest that diets lower in carbohydrate and higher in fat and protein do not increase the risk of type 2 diabetes in women. In fact, diets rich in vegetable sources of fat and protein may modestly reduce the risk of diabetes.

Key Words: Low-carbohydrate diet • Nurses' Health Study • type 2 diabetes • women • glycemic load • glycemic index







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